1. Crypto blogger speed pass
1. Top trader Dove Eugene Ng Ah Sio
(Dove has not updated)
2. Top trader Joshua
(Joshua has not updated today.)
3. Trader Vivian
Beijing time November 19 at 8:00 updated:
Daily closing update
• 3T (total crypto market cap) support holds
• Bitcoin closed above the Fibonacci zone
• BTC.D holds support
This means that Bitcoin and altcoins may sweep low again. Bitcoin is expected to touch 87–90K again tonight.
• Altcoins opened positions last night and can take profits
• Tomorrow can reopen at 3T
• New long positions cannot be opened until the total market cap touches 3T again
• Bitcoin and Ethereum positions can continue to be held
• Doge has not been increased in position.
Updated on November 19, Beijing time, at 18:00:
Good morning!
• Please close out last night's short position; I have just operated on it.
• Gradually increasing long positions, I have only added one — Tao
• The New York opening slightly swept down and hasn't fully entered yet.
• Nvidia's earnings report will be released later today, so I believe the AI sector will oscillate throughout the day, with an expectation of rising in the afternoon.
• I expect to be swept low at some point today. The position is not large, so I am gradually building my position.
Updated on November 19, Beijing time, at 20:52:
If there is no liquidity sweep when the New York market opens, we can increase our positions in DOGE / TAO or add Uni.
Almost all mainstream coins (such as XRP, LINK) are at the monthly support bottom.
BTC dominance is also at the lowest support. It only takes one good news to break the dominance and ignite a round of upward momentum.
Tight stop-loss on long positions has a very good R/R.
However, this is not risk-free until BTC's dominance truly breaks down, but the R/R is very good.
So here I emphasize the importance of stop-loss:
• Even if stopped out, the loss is very limited
• If the stop-loss is not triggered, the upside potential is unlimited
Typically, before any significant market movement starts, there will be a major stop-loss hunt.
I have been observing that:
The important support level for the total market capitalization of crypto is that the third test is usually lower than the previous two. Currently, the third touch of 3T is higher than the previous two.
Therefore, expect a possible intraday sweep.
It's not inevitable, but be mentally prepared:
• There may be a quick spike down breaking the previous day's low.
• Then quickly pulled up.
However, the three touches of 3T have already occurred.
Therefore, the probability of an increase is very high. Ideally, the dealer will release a piece of negative news at the bottom; if it really comes out, the price may drop slightly first and then rise against the negative news.
Every real bottom basically behaves this way. Be mentally prepared for this kind of market structure in advance.
The ideal timing is probably around 2 PM (FOMC MoM) Eastern Time.
Then there will also be Nvidia (NVDA) earnings report tonight.
(Vivian is generally bullish, believing that the cost-effectiveness of going long at this position is very high.)
4. Top trader DonAlt
Updated on November 19, Beijing time, at 17:18:
I have already closed out yesterday's positions near the parity level.
I originally expected it to be stronger, and I don't like the way of going directly from short to long — I would rather wait for a very obvious opportunity to appear, even if it means entering at a higher price, I can accept it.
Let's just relax for now.
Many positions are just going back and forth and ultimately exiting at break-even.
Honestly, I didn't expect the market to be this weak.
I’m just waiting for a 'lucky wick' now.
(DonAlt believes the rebound is too weak, so he closed his long position at break-even yesterday.)
5. Top trader Dr. Pump
Updated on November 18, Beijing time, at 18:34:
$BTC may experience a market similar to this:
(Dr. Pump believes BTC will rebound to test the weekly EMA60 average, then drop to the EMA99 average for bottoming. Corresponding points are around 97000 and 83000.)
6. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
BTC November 19, 2025
Since September, I've been saying that 124500 is the top, at that time it was 74500's top, today BTC broke 89595, expanding to a top of 15476. This means that the rise from 15476 to 124500 has ended. Usually, it retraces 0.2-0.618, but should not break below 70993.
89183 is a very small-level bottom for a rebound; this rebound will not change significantly until it breaks 97773.
Mantou (ZEC) November 19, 2025
Adjustment starting from 750
(1) If it moves in platform shape, the black line is seen as wave a, and the blue line rising is wave b, now it is wave c declining,
(2) If it moves in a joint shape, the black line is seen as wave w, the blue line as wave x, and now it is wave y,
Support interval 544.8--487.3, rebound occurs when approaching the support zone.
Pay attention to 655.01; if it breaks through, the possibility of (2) increases.
The adjustment starting from 750 will find its endpoint before the next wave of increase, targeting 1158.
(Liu Yudong believes that if the rebound does not exceed 97773, it will continue to drop towards 70993. ZEC support levels are 544.8—487.3, and the next round of upward target is 1158)
3. Summary
Last night's rebound did not last the whole day, and I have to admit that the market is truly bearish. But the good news is that this bear market should have a bottom for BTC above 70,000. Even from the perspective of institutional holding cost analysis, this number is quite reasonable.
Although it's a bear market, at this position, we are aggregating many low long strategies on the platform, and stop-loss can be set quite tight.
Today many big players did not update their content. To supplement today's content, I posted Glassnode's altcoin analysis weekly report in the sub-article of the WeChat public account (you can see it from the account homepage). Glassnode membership is 425U for one month, with only 4 reports, all bought with real money, so everyone take a good look.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only and is not trading advice. The crypto circle is high risk, participation requires caution.
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