Combining the cryptocurrency news on November 27 and long-short factors, mainstream coins are likely to maintain a high-level oscillation and a difficult-to-determine direction in the short term. Low liquidity and policy expectations will amplify volatility, and a few cryptocurrencies may have independent small markets. Specific predictions are as follows:
1. Bitcoin (BTC): After a daily high of 91950, it is consolidating at high levels, and in the short term, it is stuck in the range of 90500 - 91950. The selling pressure in the upper range of 91500 - 91950 is heavy; without strong sentiment and funds, it is difficult to break through. The core support below is 90500 - 90800, which is also the position of the hourly MA10 moving average. If it holds, it can continue the high-level oscillation; if it loses, it will test 89000, and in extreme cases, it may retrace to 86500. Moreover, the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday leads to low liquidity, and a small amount of funds may trigger significant fluctuations. Additionally, nearly 3.5 billion USD has flowed out from the BTC ETF in November, and the funding risks have not been completely eliminated, making a one-sided surge difficult to achieve.
2. Ethereum (ETH): After a synchronized rebound, it is oscillating near 3025, with the 3000 USD mark serving as both support and a psychological barrier. The pressure above is concentrated in the range of 3071 - 3100, where there are previous trapped positions; only a significant breakthrough can aim for 3120. The key defense line is at 3000 USD; if it retraces and loses this level, it will test the secondary support at 2950. However, its daily bullish momentum has not been fully released, and the retracement strength has been relatively weak. Overall, its resistance to decline is slightly stronger than BTC, and it is likely to oscillate along with BTC, but with smaller fluctuations.
Overall, the market is currently at a critical juncture of long-short contention. The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December is the main positive factor, but the probability of a rate cut has already fluctuated. If the expectations cool down, it will suppress coin prices. At the same time, whether ETF fund inflows can continue and the risks of MicroStrategy's holdings are uncertain factors. In the short term, the oscillation pattern is difficult to break, and it is recommended to closely monitor key price levels and avoid heavy bets on direction. $BTC #比特币预测



