READ THIS VERY IMPORTANT ‼️
Here is my current analysis of Ethereum #ETH -
✅ 1. Bullish Scenario — “Recovery Breakout”
Probability: 35%
Key Idea:
ETH holds current support and gains bullish momentum as Bitcoin stabilizes and institutions rotate back into majors.
Price Targets:
•$3,400 → $3,650 (first breakout zone)
•$3,800 – $4,000 (main bullish target)
•$4,300+ (only if a major catalyst hits)
📊 2. Base Case Scenario — “Ranging + Slow Rebound”
Probability: 45% (Most likely)
Key Idea:
ETH trades sideways, finding stability, with occasional spikes — but no sustained breakout without stronger catalysts.
Range Expectation:
•$2,900 – $3,400 (main consolidation zone)
•Occasional wicks to $3,500 if #BTC spikes.
⚠️ 3. Bearish Scenario — “Liquidity Drop / Macro Shock”
Probability: 20%
Key Idea:
ETH fails to hold support, BTC drops, liquidity dries up, and December volatility punish weak hands.
Downside Targets:
•$2,750 (first support)
•$2,600 – $2,650 (major support zone)
•Worst-case: $2,400
Trading Strategy:
•Keep a tight stop-loss
•Avoid over-leverage
•Scale in slowly if stacking long-term
•Wait for capitulation signals before major buys.
