Something big has happened, brothers. Rumor has it that Powell will resign next year!

It should be related to "Trump claims to have confirmed the next Federal Reserve Chair candidate."

If this rumor is true, the new Federal Reserve Chair will naturally focus on interest rate cuts as the main strategy direction, which is good for the US stock market and the cryptocurrency space.

Currently, polymarket predictions show that the probability of him stepping down this year is only 2%.

Powell's current term ends on May 15, 2026, and it is highly likely that he will step down.

Subjectively considering Powell's psychology, he should hope to use these last 6 months to lower the CPI and make up for the high inflation mess he previously created.

But I'm afraid his wish may be difficult to realize. A recent report from Goldman Sachs shows:

Firstly, American companies are experiencing layoffs, and clear signs of weakness are appearing in the job market.

Secondly, labor department data will have a 2-month lag.

This means that negative employment data will appear in the labor department data from January to March.

A rate cut in December is highly likely, and after a 25 basis point cut, the federal funds rate will still be between 3.5% and 3.75%. If there is no rate cut in January and no meeting in February, a 25 basis point cut alone may have limited support for the job market.

The Federal Reserve may have to consider continuing to cut rates as early as March. Something big is coming! A big order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to pull! After careful consideration, I still choose to share it in the chat room! If you want to go on the highway, you can Ca11 me! #加密市场回调 #特朗普加密新政