#BTC $BTC
Short-term scenario
✅ Scenario 1: Short-term recovery (probability 40%)
Conditions:
Maintain above 92,600
Oversold RSI supports a bounce
Recovery targets:
93,000
93,200
→ Suitable for scalp buy if there is a confirmation candle at 15m.
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❌ Scenario 2: Further decline (probability 60%)
Signs:
MA7 and MA25 are still sloping down
MACD has not given a reversal signal
If it loses 92,600, BTC may continue to drop to:
92,300
92,000 – 91,800
→ Suitable for short when the price bounces up but does not exceed 93,000.
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🧭 Suggested trading strategy
If you want to buy short-term
Buy when there is a bounce candle at 92,600 – 92,700
TP: 93,000 – 93,200
SL: below 92,500
If you want to short
Short when the price bounces up to 92,950 – 93,100 but gets rejected.
TP: 92,600 – 92,300
SL: 93,300
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📌 Conclusion
Currently, BTC is in a short-term downtrend, but RSI indicates oversold → a weak bounce may occur.
Important point to watch: 92,600.