$BTC : The probability of going long is higher (about 65-70%), but caution is still needed in the short term.
In the short term (within 12 months), there may be continued fluctuations or slight declines, with further pullback risks, but the probability of a major drop is low (strong support).
In the medium term (early 2026), the probability of a rebound is high, with the Federal Reserve likely to lower interest rates in December, institutional funds returning, and seasonal factors (the historical average increase in December is 9.7%) all favoring the bulls.
Suggested trading strategy (for reference only):
Best entry price: 88,000-89,500 (accumulate in batches when near the current price or on slight pullbacks, the lower the better).
Stop-loss point: below 86,000-87,000 (for stricter control, it can be set at 83,000, with a risk of about 3-8%).
Take-profit points:
First target: 93,000-95,000 (short term, profit 10-6%)
Second target: 100,000-105,000 (medium term, profit 15-20%+)
Third target: 110,000-120,000 (if there is a strong rebound in December)
