1. The most vicious traps in a bull market
Popular coins = harvesting zone
In a bull market, those coins that are crazily hyped often have heavy control and thick bubbles.
→ Logic: the big players pump the price to create a climax, retail investors follow, once the funds withdraw, the drop is more severe than the market.
→ Strategy: chase only after a rise of over 50%, high probability of catching a falling knife. Better to miss out than to become a bag holder.
New coins launch = the sickle must come out
Many exchanges push new coins, it's always 'launch spike → crash to offload → retail investors become the bag holders'.
→ Case: a certain IEO ten times in three days, result cut in half by eighty percent, ninety percent of retail investors trapped.
→ Iron rule: observe new coins for 2-3 months before launching, avoid emotion-driven actions.
II. Identifying the killer tricks of shitcoins
Shitcoin standard script
「Violent washing → Ladder rise → Skin change restart → Final blow」
→ Data shows: 80% of shitcoins have a lifespan of less than 1 year, 95% eventually go to zero.
→ Suggestion: Only use 5% of your portfolio for shitcoins, small bets for fun, and take profits in batches.
The strongest rebound ≠ the greatest potential
The meme and small-cap coins that surge and plunge are essentially speculative plays, generally retreating over 80% after a peak.
→ Truth: Truly high-quality projects usually have milder volatility than the market.
III. How to find real long-term opportunities
Time is the strongest strategy
BTC/ETH ten-year annualized 200%+, but with multiple 40%-70% retracements during this period.
→ Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging + long-term holding to reduce operational losses.
Value projects are hidden in obscure areas
Before a true dark horse starts, trading volume is usually very low, and no one pays attention.
→ Case: C98 bottomed for 11 months, then surged 27 times.
→ Method: Monitor GitHub updates, VC holdings, and on-chain active users.
Black horse rebound in the second half of the bull market
Mainstream Layer 1/Layer 2 that hasn't risen in the early stage (such as ATOM, NEAR) often rebounds 3-5 times at the end.
→ Suggestion: Reserve 30% of funds for right-side layout, rather than going all-in on the left side to bet on the bottom.
IV. Top trading mindset (only anti-human nature makes money)
Against human nature buying and selling
「Buy on the dip, sell on the rise」 is the correct answer.
→ Grid strategy: increase positions every 10% drop, reduce positions every 20% rise, which can automatically execute discipline.
The clearest exit signal
Quickly retracing 15%+ after breaking new highs, with continuous volume shrinkage——
→ Immediately take profit 50%.
Consolidation is not waste, consolidation is energy accumulation
After experiencing 3-6 months of narrow fluctuations (within 30%), the probability of breaking through resistance and exploding is extremely high.
→ Case: SOL consolidated for 4 months before directly achieving a 10x market.
Ultimate survival logic
Action guideline: Complete research and establish positions within 24 hours of seeing an opportunity
Information advantage: Focus on key data, not on random chatting in WeChat groups
For example: CoinGlass long-short ratio, Glassnode on-chain indicators, etc.
Risk red line (if you don't understand this, no matter how much you earn, it's temporary)
Single coin holdings ≤ 20%
Never go all-in on leverage
In the coin circle, it's not about who runs fast, but who lives long.
Those who truly make money have one thing in common:
—— Do the right thing, survive, and wait for the trend.
If you find it valuable, give a like and save it,
When the bull market comes, you will thank your current self.
