#altcoinseason 🔥💵Is an altseason approaching at the beginning of 2026? Or are we already in a bear market?

👉 Short answer:

I do not believe that we have entered a classic 4-year bear market.

Yes — the chance for an altseason at the turn of Q1–Q2 2026 is still high, but it will not be the euphoria we saw in 2021.

The current declines are a macro correction after an artificially pumped bull cycle driven by BTC ETFs, which has hit altcoins the hardest.

⸻

📉 Why doesn’t this look like the beginning of a 4-year bear market?

1. BTC is still holding a bullish structure.

In a classic bear market, BTC drops -60% to -80%.

Today we have a pullback, but the weekly structure has not been broken.

There is also a lack of panic, capitulation, and "panic selling."

⸻

2. Altcoin declines are not a bear market – it's a rotation of capital.

Capital has returned to BTC after:

• having,

• ETFs,

• outflow of liquidity from DeFi and AI.

This is a typical pre-altseason pattern — altcoins die before making 5–20x six months later.