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青梅煮币
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Next Thursday morning, the Federal Reserve will announce interest rates, with a current probability of a rate cut at 86.2%.
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青梅煮币
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如果80600是底，则比特币自80600以来的反弹是一个引导楔形，整体是大B浪的一部分，回撤后还有一轮冲高，较强的压力位在10万附近。 需要注意的是：当前的回撤不宜太深，可以用83600做防守或止损。 #BTC
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如果80600不是底。 BTC自80600的反弹在一个上升楔形内震荡，目前最高已经反弹到94500附近，比较符合4浪反弹的目标位。如果上升楔形破位，则有可能再创新低，整体形成5浪下跌的结构。 按5浪下跌幅度常常约等于1浪，那么可能的止标位在70500附近，但中间74500是一个重要支撑，所以，如果行情下跌创新低，则应该注意75000附近的支撑情况。 #BTC
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青梅煮币：BTC反弹不是反转
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12月份降息25个基点符合市场预期，同时确认明年不会加息。点阵图预计2026和2027年分别再降一次，但由于要换美联储主席，所以这个次数虽然不及预期，但仍有悬念。鲍威尔认为就业数据被高估，那么下周二发布的非农数据会是一个重要参考。 #美联储降息
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比特币小级别仍在上升楔形内，上沿压力位在95000附近，最近的支撑上移到91300，如果不能持续拉涨，则4小时二次顶背离的风险增加。#BTC
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