【RTA Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - BTC】80,000 USD Becomes Strong Support for BTC! Q4 Focused on Fluctuation, Conservative / Aggressive Strategies Available
BTC has shown a clear downward stabilization trend last week, combined with MSTR's daily level volume stop-loss signal, and resonating with IBIT's previous daily level volume stop-loss, a fluctuation pattern with 80,000 USD as the bottom is likely to become the market's main line in the next 1-2 months.
From the options market's position structure, a large-scale concentration of PUT options below 85,000 USD has formed strong bottom support for BTC Q4 quarter options. Combined with the price behavior signals of MSTR and IBIT, maintaining the main tone of fluctuating rebound in Q4 has a high degree of certainty.
Two Main Trading Strategies
- Conservative: Sell Options Strategy
1. Buy Low Strategy: Sell PUT options in the range of 80,000-85,000 USD, delivering below the strike price, buy spot, hold until the end of Q4 options delivery.
2. Sell Straddle: Simultaneously sell PUT options in the range of 80,000-85,000 USD and call options above 100,000 USD, hold until the end of Q4 options delivery.
- Aggressive: High Sell Low Buy Futures
When approaching the 80,000 USD level below, one can layout long positions, and exit long when reaching the range of 95,000-100,000 USD, switching to short futures positions, operating in cycles, with high participation value in the previous four transactions.
Core Path of Q1 Market Trends
After the closure of Q4 trading, early Q1 of 2025 will become a key confirmation window for subsequent market trends, focusing on two main paths:
1. Bottom Confirmation Fluctuation: With around 80,000 USD as the phase bottom, building a large-scale fluctuation consolidation pattern in the range of 110,000-120,000 USD, completing trend repair through time for space.
2. Downward Continuation Fluctuation: Currently, after stopping the decline, entering a small range of fluctuation, which is essentially a downward continuation pattern, and the price may restart a downward trend later.
