Market Overview | Key Points Before Critical Events

1. Core of the Event

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday is the only focus this week. The market has bet on a 25 basis point rate cut, watching whether the announcement will lead to a 'positive outcome' or trigger a new upward trend.

2. Behavioral Interpretation

Saturday's consolidation and Sunday’s 'Heaven and Earth Needle' volatility are typical actions of the main players washing out positions and collecting chips before significant events, indicating that volatility will increase.

3. Key Positions

· Strength Weakness Divide: $92,000

· Stabilizing Above: Expected to test $96,000-$98,000.

· Losing Below: Key defense at the psychological level of $90,000, if broken, could lead to a deep correction to $87,000-$87,500.

4. Strategic Focus

1. Main Direction: Overall bullish, but avoid chasing highs. Prioritize buying low after a pullback, or wait for a clear breakout above $92,000 to follow on the right side.

2. Be Cautious with Shorts: The risk of going short against the trend is extremely high before the upward structure is clearly damaged.

3. Risk Control First: Volatility will inevitably increase around Thursday, so ensure light positions and strict stop-losses to guard against unexpected fluctuations.

Summary: Wait for direction, guard against volatility. Break above $92,000 to follow on the long side, holding $90,000 means the trend is not broken. #美联储重启降息步伐