JUST IN: 🇺🇸 CFTC launches crypto pilot program for | Bluechip on Binance Square

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JUST IN:🇺🇸 CFTC launches crypto pilot program for tokenized collateral in derivatives markets.
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THE CONVERGENCE NO ONE SAW Wall Street is watching oil prices to predict Japan's collapse. They are measuring the wrong thermometer. The crisis has already started. Japan's 10-year bond yield just hit 1.95 percent. Highest since 2008. Five basis points from the 2 percent threshold every institutional stress model flags as critical. The 30-year yield: 3.44 percent. All-time record. The 40-year yield: 3.71 percent. All-time record. These are not warnings. These are arrivals. The Bank of Japan holds 28.6 trillion yen in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. That is 225 percent of its entire capital base. The central bank is technically insolvent by any conventional measure. Japan imports 97 percent of its oil. Markets assume an oil spike above $80 must trigger the fiscal spiral. Institutional forecasts show oil heading to $52 to $60 in 2026. So everyone relaxed. They missed the architecture. The transmission mechanism that would amplify an oil shock is already operating through alternative channels. BOJ policy normalization. Global term premium expansion. Structural fiscal deterioration. Carry trade repatriation. Japan holds $1.13 trillion in U.S. Treasuries. The largest foreign position. When Japanese institutions repatriate capital, American bond markets feel it. The 20-year yield threshold for "serious repatriation" was 2 percent according to institutional strategists. It currently sits at 2.94 percent. The threshold broke. The flows have begun. Japan's debt: 260 percent of GDP. Each 1 percent yield rise: 2.5 percent of GDP in additional deficit. Debt servicing costs rising 8 percent annually. Faster than nominal GDP growth. The arithmetic has no equilibrium at current trajectories. Oil would be an accelerant. Not a trigger. The fire is already burning. Watch 10-year yields cross 2 percent. Watch the carry trade. Watch the Treasury market. The convergence trap has closed. $BTC

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🇺🇸 NEW: Acting Chairman Pham has announced that the CFTC has launched a digital-assets pilot program allowing $BTC and $ETH to be used as collateral in U.S. derivatives markets.

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$BTC It’s pretty straightforward for me: either price sweeps 94K and I look for entry triggers, or we sweep 85K. Last week closed with a long wick, so a 50% wick fill is possible but overall... I’m expecting volatility soon. I’m not interested in trading the middle.

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The US debt crisis is entering uncharted territory: The US Treasury has issued a record $25.4 trillion in T-Bills over the last 12 months, lifting total Treasury issuance to a record $36.6 trillion. This means T-Bills now reflect 69.4% of all Treasury issuance, near an all-time high. The percentage has risen +27.6 points since the November 2015 low. In other words, the US government is increasingly financing its long-term obligations with debt that matures in just a few months. As a consequence, interest expense on public debt now moves nearly in lockstep with the Fed’s policy rate. If inflation resurges and the Fed is forced to raise rates again, interest costs will climb to unprecedented levels. The US debt crisis is intensifying. $BTC

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🚨 Why Bitcoin always dumps at 10 a.m. when the U.S. market opens ? Today, Bitcoin erased 16 hours of gains in just 20 minutes after the US market opened. Since early November, BTC has dumped most of the time after US market opens. The same thing happened in Q2 and Q3. Zerohedge has been calling this out repeatedly, and he thinks Jane Street is the most likely entity doing this. When you look at the chart, the pattern is too consistent to ignore: a clean wipeout within an hour of the market opening followed by slow recovery. That’s classic high-frequency execution. And it fits their profile: • Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world. • They have the speed and liquidity to move markets for a few minutes. The behavior looks simple: 1. Dump BTC at the open. 2. Push the price into liquidity pockets. 3. Re-enter lower. 4. Repeat daily. And by doing this, they have accumulated billions in $BTC. As of now, Jane Street holds $2.5B worth of BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, their 5th largest position. This means most of the dump in BTC isn't due to macro weakness but due to manipulation by one major entity. And once these big players are done with buying, BTC will continue its upward momentum.

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