Tomorrow early morning explosion warning! The Federal Reserve's big move will land, and the global cryptocurrency market holds its breath for the thunder:
The latest signals point directly to the FOMC meeting possibly surprising with a 50 basis point rate cut—not the usual 25 points, but a real half-hundred easing, with CME probabilities soaring to 89.4%. Market expectations are nearly an open secret, and the only suspense left is how strong the landing will be.
A flood of liquidity is approaching, and capital has long been anchored in the crypto battlefield. Historical scripts already have answers: once the easing gates open, BTC and altcoins will undoubtedly be the first stop for funds scrambling to buy. In the last rate cut cycle, Bitcoin surged over 800% from the lows, igniting a super bull market, and during the zero interest rate era in 2020, it even created a myth with an 886% increase; data laws confirm that the volatility of mainstream coins surges over 300% in the 72 hours before and after the decision, with high leverage long-short confrontations ready to explode, and hidden dangers in the contract market.
However, this round of games far exceeds the past. Behind the 89.4% high probability lies a triple strangulation of sticky inflation, weak employment, and the election cycle. Whether the Federal Reserve's easing is a good remedy for the market or a short-term stimulant, market differences have reached their peak. Institutional funds are positioning in advance, and long-term holders on-chain have stable positions to support the market, but the historical curse of 'buying on rumors, selling on news' still looms overhead. Will it be a continuation of good news or a high pullback into a pit? This tests everyone's judgment.
A storm is coming, fasten your seatbelt. If you can't analyze and grasp it yourself, observe more. Don't think you can eat the fish head and the fish tail. If you want to eat meat, follow Master Ye’s rhythm closely. Something big is coming; keep up, and you’ll enjoy eating $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐
