The night before the market shift? I’ve understood the real signals from the market!
Family, I just finished digesting the latest macro news + on-chain data, and I want to share some solid insights with you——
Dovish rate cuts? The market isn't panicking at all!
RBC analysts say, "It might only cut once and then stop," which sounds hawkish at first, but if you look closely: the rate cut window has already opened. As soon as the liquidity expectations are ignited, smart money will position themselves early. Large on-chain transactions (whale addresses) have quietly increased this week, and the BTC balances on exchanges have been continuously declining—someone is quietly accumulating.
Data doesn't lie: smart money is already in action, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has dropped to a yearly low, indicating that funds are ready to enter, and the implied volatility of options is rising, but the open contracts are concentrated in Call Options. This isn't gambling; this is a prediction of large funds regarding the shift in liquidity.
My judgment: a short-term surge, but be wary of the "expectation gap."
Before the rate cut is finalized, the market will hype liquidity expectations, and BTC is expected to test previous highs. However, if a "pause in rate cuts" signal is released afterward, the risk of a pullback increases. So my strategy: accumulate quality altcoins (AI, RWA tracks) in batches on dips, hold BTC positions but don't chase highs.
Don’t be scared by news headlines! What truly affects prices is the "expectation gap," and right now, expectations are just starting to ferment. Old fans know that I accurately called the bottom range of the rate cut cycle last year; this time the on-chain signals are clearer than before.
Remember: position yourself while others hesitate, and reduce holdings during the frenzy. I’m committed to this rhythm!
Follow Xiang Ge for more first-hand information and precise points on cryptocurrency knowledge, becoming your navigation in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth! #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 $BTC
