Those who can truly grasp the pulse of the market are often not those who chase every fluctuation, but those who understand how to wait and hold firm.
From a macro cycle perspective, market consensus is starting to solidify. Predictions from several mainstream institutions point to a clear path: the Federal Reserve's easing steps may take two steps in the first half of next year, expected in March and June. This means that after the interest rate cut in December this year, the market's expectations for action in March next year will begin to take shape, and the macro sentiment around February next year is expected to enter a period of optimism, which may resonate with the traditional "spring excitement" or "Chinese New Year market" period.
Observing recent market behavior is quite interesting. Whenever prices break through some short-term technical supports, panic emotions instantly surge. This reflects a common misconception: many investors misinterpret daily fluctuations as trend reversals in larger cycles. The short-term noise of the market often obscures its long-term rhythm; the true direction of weekly or monthly charts requires the discipline to filter out noise, rather than being swayed by intraday candlesticks. For spot holders, the key is to avoid being pulled away from their track by the violent fluctuations of a high-leverage market.
In terms of the current market structure, aside from the always lively MEME sector, projects like $ASTER and $SPIEN that have fundamental storytelling support may offer more traceable and participatory opportunities. The market always provides opportunities in segments; for investors accustomed to swing trading, now is the time to look for such structural opportunities.
Looking further ahead, the second half of next year may welcome a more decisive layout node. From a trading perspective, if the market can undergo a deep correction, such as Bitcoin returning to a key area of $70,000, it will accumulate more energy for the next cyclical rise.
