These 2 doors + rebound are becoming more and more like 2021-22

If history repeats itself, BTC will rebound to the 98,000-100,000 range

The rebound at the beginning of 2022:

1 was driven by the rise of U.S. stocks

2 was a technical rebound after a sharp drop

3 was a reduction in interest rate hike expectations

But this rebound ultimately turned out to be a "flash in the pan." In the following year of 2022:

May: LUNA collapsed

June: Celsius exploded, 3AC went bankrupt

November: FTX went bankrupt

There is a core main line here - the expectation of interest rate hikes being adjusted downward failed - throughout 2022, the Federal Reserve not only reduced its balance sheet but also aggressively raised interest rates by 4%

In 2026, this expectation of interest rate hikes being adjusted downward has turned into an expectation of interest rate cuts being adjusted upward. No one knows, what if this expectation fails, will it trigger another round of hidden risks?