Brothers, tonight at 3 AM is the Federal Reserve 'rate cut night', but the script may be completely different from what you think! The market has already bet on a 25 basis point cut, but strangely, the seasoned players in the bond market have already 'run away', and long-term bond yields have risen instead of falling—this signal is more worth savoring than the decision itself! Data Analysis Room
Simply put: the market is fundamentally worried not about 'whether to lower' but about 'what Powell will do after lowering?' 🤔
👉 Three scenarios, take your seats:
1. Hawkish rate cut (most likely): give a candy, then slap back. Saying 'depends on the data', implying 'this is it'. Cryptocurrency trend? Likely 'first spike high, then a needle', it's all about the heartbeat. If BTC can't break 95,000 and hold steady, be careful.
2. Dovish surprise (a surprise): Not only a rate cut, but also hinted at continued easing, even discussing restarting bond purchases. If that's the case, BTC aims for 100,000, and mainstream altcoins join the party! 🎉
3. Pause rate cuts (nuclear explosion level): If the Fed is stubborn and doesn't raise rates... Clear out and run? Not necessarily, but the market will definitely need a bloodbath to find support again.
🔥 The real 'nuclear bomb' lies in the details:
Everyone is focused on one name: Trump's favored chairperson candidate—Hassett. This guy claims he wants to 'boldly cut rates,' and the market has begun to question whether the Fed's 'independence' is about to fail. Once credit collapses, long-term interest rates soar, and the only way out may be... printing money directly (QE). That would be the real climax of BTC and gold's 'anti-inflation narrative'!
📈 Here are the key points for your operations:
· Don't rush in mindlessly at the moment of the 3 o'clock decision! The real indicator is Powell's press conference half an hour later; every word of 'hawkish or dovish' is a blade.
· Focus on two indicators: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and the U.S. dollar index. If they continue to rise sharply after a rate cut, risk assets will face pressure.
· Position management is greater than betting on direction! High leverage can easily get wiped out in extreme volatility. 🔥 Pay attention to ETH chain dragon meme.P UP PIE S is very stable!
In short, tonight is not the end of the story, but possibly the beginning of a new chaos in global monetary credit. Buckle up and get ready for the show!
Do you think Powell will be a 'hawk' or a 'dove' tonight? Is your position ready?




