$ETH $XRP $SOL
At three in the morning, the Federal Reserve is about to change its stance again! But this time, it might be the 'Last Supper'. 小狗聊天室
Brothers, Powell just made a statement! As the market expected, a 25 basis point rate cut was implemented, but the tone has completely changed—it's a typical 'hawkish rate cut': you get a candy, but you are immediately told that the next candy is uncertain.
The core message is simple: the rate cut is a 'preventive measure', not the beginning of an easing cycle! Why is it so twisted? Because there's been a huge internal conflict within the Federal Reserve! The number of dissenting votes may reach a record high, with one side fearing an economic recession and the other side fearing a resurgence of inflation. Therefore, this rate cut feels more like a 'product of conflicting compromises'.
What impact does this have on the crypto market? Let's get straight to the point:
1. Short term: The rate cut itself is considered positive, but the 'hawkish' attitude (the dot plot shows fewer rate cuts next year) will firmly suppress the market's exuberant expectations. Want to replicate the violent rallies after the previous two rate cuts? Dream on.
2. Medium term: The US dollar is likely to strengthen, which is not good news for risk assets priced in dollars (including BTC, ETH). Funding costs remain high, so don't go crazy with leverage.
3. Scenario: It's likely to be a 'sell the news' market—good news turns into bad news. The market will realize that the faucet has not been turned on wider. 🔥At this moment, it's stable to bet on leading Ethereum meme.PU P PIE S.
In summary, the Federal Reserve's underlying message is: 'Recession? I’ll keep an eye on that; Inflation? I’m watching; Market? Don’t get too carried away!'
Next, the focus shifts to economic data, as each piece of data could lead to a plot reversal. Fellow insiders, do you think BTC can hold its ground in this wave, or will it be doused back to reality by this 'hawkish cold water'? Let's discuss your judgments in the comments!
(Investing involves risks; the above is just a market information interpretation and does not constitute any advice.) #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #山寨季将至？