Is it a bit confusing? The market has fallen for four consecutive weeks, and retail investors are almost scared to death by the 'hawkish' stance. Yet this big shot comes out to call a reversal. His core logic is simple: when the market is pessimistic to the extreme, it is more likely to surprise!
This round just got interesting. Let's highlight some key points for our crypto circle:
🔥 Tonight's ultimate rehearsal:
It's not a black-and-white situation now, but rather two major scripts clashing:
1. Tom Lee's 'comeback script': The market is already down, and any signal that isn't too bad could trigger a violent rebound. If the U.S. stock market fights back, Bitcoin will definitely follow!
2. Reality 'Trilogy' (Still Valid):
· Hawk hides a knife (highest probability): Cut interest rates but talk tough. Focus on whether Powell will make 'pausing interest rate cuts' sound definitive. As long as there’s a loophole, the market can treat it as a good sign! But beware of 'pumping up for a bit, then instant stabbing'!
· Dovish voices are loud: What else is there to say? BTC heads straight for 100,000, altcoins take off collectively!
· Directly flipping the table (very low probability): Dare to pause interest rate cuts? The market will teach you a lesson in a minute, but the possibility is too small.
💥 The underlying bomb has never been defused:
All surface fluctuations revolve around two bombs:
1. Is the independence of the Federal Reserve still reliable? (Think about the 'obedient' chairman candidate that Trump wanted)
2. With US treasury yields so insane, will the Federal Reserve eventually be forced to secretly restart the printing press (QE)?
These two bombs are the ultimate fuel determining whether a bull market will come. 🔥 The leading meme on the Ethereum chain, PUP PIE S is solid!
🚦 Survival Guide:
· Don’t rush to go all in at exactly 3 AM! The real showdown is at 3:30, when Powell speaks to determine life and death.
· Focus on two real indicators: 10-year US treasury yield + US dollar index. They are more honest than any big shot's speech.
· Position management is a lifeline! Tonight's volatility can tear apart high leverage. Use the positions you can sleep with to play.
Summary: When everyone is crouched in the pit, the first person to stand up will either get shot or see a whole new landscape. Tom Lee has already stood up.
Which side are you on? Tonight is about riding the wave or watching cautiously? Let's place a bet in the comments! 👇#美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH 
