🚨 BTC vs INTEREST RATE NEWS: WHAT NOBODY EXPLAINS TO YOU (AND EVERYONE WILL FEEL)
🧠 1) WHAT THE CHARTS SAY (4H BTC)
Current structure:
Background trend: bullish, but…
Violent push up to ~96k
Quick retracement
Now range 92–93k, below that wick.
4H Indicators:
RSI 55–60 → moderate strength, it’s neither ‘a bargain’ nor ‘very expensive’.
MACD stuck at 0 → neutral momentum.
Stochastic high but not extreme → the rally is cooling down, not a crash.
ATR spiked during the pump, now going down → high volatility but relaxing. Typical before another expansion.
OBV rising → in the declines there is buying hand, not clear distribution.
Heatmap:
Large sell liquidity at 95k–98k → magnet if the market gets excited, but classic zone of “sell the news”.
Strong buy liquidity at 90k–88k and deeper at 86k–87k → that's where they hunt stops and reload cheaply.
In the middle (92–93k) → less wall, battle zone for sweeps.
👉 Technical conclusion:
Bullish structure at the bottom, but now in range/distribution between 90k and 96k.
The news will be the excuse to push the price towards one of those liquidity pools.
📉 2) IF THEY LOWER THE RATE (rate cut) – CLASSIC SCENARIO
In theory:
Low rate → weaker dollar
Risk assets (stocks, BTC, etc.) with wind at their back
First typical move: bullish pump in BTC
BUT raw version:
If the market has already “discounted” the cut with the previous rally…
→ Bullish spike up to 95–98k (where the sell orders are)
→ And then: “sell the news”, strong profit-taking.
📉 3) IF THEY DO NOT LOWER THE RATE 🤯
Dollar strengthens
The market reads: “the cheap money party is not so long”
BTC usually corrects strongly:
→ Sweep towards 90k–88k wouldn't be anything strange
→ Even deeper if they hunt liquidity at 86–87k
🔪 4) BATTLE PLAN (WITH PROFESSIONAL MENTALITY, NOT ROULETTE) 👀
IF YOUR ACCOUNT is small and leveraged, the worst mistake is this:
👉 Enter JUST before the news
👉 Guess direction
👉 Eat a wick of 1–2k against you and blow up the account
What a prudent trader usually does:
Does not enter the eye of the hurricane.
Let the data come out.
Wait at least 1 candle of 15m or 1H to see:
Where does the price close?
What does the volume do?
What do RSI/MACD show after the whip?
Only then are scenarios interpreted:
📈 Continues upward → possible continuation trade.
📉 Strong dump → looking for deep liquidity zones to buy at a discount.
⚠️ 5) WHAT USUALLY KILLS ACCOUNTS ON DAYS LIKE Today 🤯🙈
Place pending orders before the news “not to miss the movement”.
Trading with FOMO on the first whip.
Confusing news volatility with real trend.
Getting into altcoins (like ONDO) while BTC is breaking live.
First send BTC, then everything else.
🧨 6) FINAL MESSAGE
The news does not make you win or lose.
What destroys you is entering without a plan at the worst minute of the day.
The price is going to go, whether you like it or not, to where the liquidity is:
be it 95–98k up or 90–88–86k down.
The difference between being liquidity or hunting liquidity is in waiting for the reaction, not guessing the headline.
📌 This is not financial advice.
It's market reading + risk management so that you stop being part of the daily wreck.#fed #btc 
