📍 #ETH Technical Analysis (2025/12/11)
ETH 【1D】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bearish
Why: Price is still inside a larger down channel; it reclaimed 3,177.69 but remains capped below 3,731.80 and higher timeframe resistance.
Strategy:
• Plan: No immediate trades on this timeframe, watch for a confirmed daily close above 3,731.80 for swing longs or back below 3,177.69 to resume the bearish roadmap.
• Size: 0 percent scale in, 100 percent only if breakout conditions are met.
• Invalid: A failed breakout that closes back under 3,177.69 would force a fresh reassessment of the mid term bias.
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ETH 【4H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Why: Four hour closes hold above 3,005.41 and short EMAs with MACD and RSI both positive, showing a pullback within an up move.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy pullbacks into the 3,005.41～3,294.79 zone and add on a strong breakout above 3,529.72.
• Size: 60 percent scaled in on dips, 40 percent on breakout.
• Invalid: A 4H close below 2,770.48 invalidates this long bias.
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🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 2,770.48
• Zone: 3,005.41～3,294.79
• Breakout: 3,529.72
• TP: 3,529.72, 3,819.10
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ETH 【1H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bearish
Why: One hour candle closed below 3,353.23, under short EMAs and session VWAP, with MACD flipping negative.
Strategy:
• Plan: Sell bounces into 3,259.01～3,353.23 and add on a breakdown through 3,193.89.
• Size: 60 percent scale in on the bounce, 40 percent on breakdown.
• Invalid: An hourly close back above 3,418.35 cancels the short plan.
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🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 3,418.35
• Zone: 3,259.01～3,353.23
• Breakdown: 3,193.89
• TP: 3,193.89, 3,099.67
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