$ETH The End of the Feast: The Market Has Already Held a Moment of Silence for the 'Last Rate Cut'!

The sound of the rate cut bell still echoes in the early morning, but the real scythe has already swung toward the next intersection.

In the brief moment after the announcement, a shocking scene unfolded in the interest rate futures: the market determined that the probability of the 'Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts next January' skyrocketed from 70% to 78%. This is not an adjustment; this is a collective verdict—everyone knows well that what has just been swallowed is not an appetizer for the easing cycle, but the last farewell drink.

Are you still celebrating the word 'rate cut'? The market, with its cold probabilities, tells you: this rate cut is, in itself, the strongest forecast for the future 'no more rate cuts'. They have bought your fantasy of the candy jar for the entire next year with a piece of candy. Your long position celebrates a party destined to have no sequel.

This is the cruel truth of top finance: real bearish news never appears in a bearish guise but makes its entrance in the form of 'the last favorable news'. It excites you, lets you lower your guard, and then, when everyone thinks the feast will continue, quietly removes the entire dining table.

When 78% of the consensus bets on 'pause', you think you are on the side of the majority; in reality, you are standing on the beach of liquidity retreat. The tide will not notify you when it begins to recede.

Top hunters understand: when everyone sees the next step clearly, that step itself has already lost all value.

Are you now grateful for the candy at hand, or feeling a chill for the long period of sugar prohibition that is about to come?

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