$BTC 10 million dollars consensus has been formed? Beware of the long positions trap in BTC's "script killing"!

"Banmu Xia"'s prediction: BTC will surge to 103,500 - 112,500 dollars in the next month! Are you so excited that you can't wait to invest everything? Hold on! Let me throw a bucket of cold water on you: when everyone starts to believe in the same script, the market will start to "kill"!

Is Banmu Xia's reasoning valid? Yes! Leading wedge, big wave 4, 0.382 support... the technical logic is clear, and the professionalism is solid. But the problem is — it's too clear, as clear as a meticulously arranged "script killing"! Will the market really follow the roadmap everyone has drawn? History has repeatedly told us: when the consensus is highly consistent, the reversal often happens in the next second!

Do you know what the market is doing right now? It's "fishing"! First, it gives you a seemingly impeccable technical structure, then feeds you a target range that sparks your imagination, allowing retail investors to collectively go long, collectively expect, and collectively FOMO. And then? The high probability is a fierce washout, killing off the longs before pushing the price up; the script has always been acted in reverse!

Don't just focus on 100,000 dollars! Look at the knife hidden in what he said: "The process may still be very tortuous" — these seven words are the key point! What does "tortuous" mean? It means sharp rises and falls, violent fluctuations, wiping out the long positions and then the short positions, making you see the right direction but unable to hold steady. What you might be thinking now is that "a pullback is a buying opportunity", while the market maker is thinking about "how to scare your chips out"

So what should the players do? Remember the three sentences from Candle Dragon:

Trust the logic, don't trust the price levels — you can borrow the analytical framework, but don't treat 100,000 dollars as a decree, the market makes no promises.

Wait for confirmation, don't rush to jump the gun — 89,000 to 90,000 support? You can observe, but don't self-hypnotize by thinking "it's hit the bottom" before it stabilizes.

Maintain fear, stay clear-headed — be fearful when everyone is optimistic, be greedy when everyone is desperate; this is the survival rule in the crypto circle.

The market never walks on the K-line you draw but always harvests your emotions. The real risk is not price volatility but the "consensus" you firmly believe in.

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