#Bitcoin and #Ethereum have 20 days to close the year in the | CryptoZeno on Binance Square

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#Bitcoin and #Ethereum have 20 days to close the year in the green.

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🔥 #Bitcoin Cycle Anatomy Is Repeating And the Chart Isn’t Lying The 3-Week Donchian Basis has mapped every major $BTC cycle for 15 years and this chart shows we’re approaching the same structural breakdown zone that preceded every historical bear phase. The Donchian Basis is a cycle boundary marker. When price loses it on the 3W timeframe, the market historically shifts from distribution → decline. We’re now at the same inflection point. ⚠The next 4–6 months may decide whether we get a euphoric blow-off… or the first cracks of the next macro downtrend. Stay alert. Protect capital. Read the cycles.

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$BTC | Additional Context The next FOMC meeting is December 9–10th. I expected this entire retracement and opened short positions at 92K. We also have a new monthly open. Usually a area where we can form the early month pivot for trend direction. We still have about a week to go, which means there’s room for additional downside liquidity hunts. However, the broader expectation is a move upward heading into FOMC. As for where that pre FOMC high will form, that’s impossible to call. What matters most is timing and execution once key levels are tested. From here, BTC will either establish a higher low or sweep the current 80K lows before making a push upward into the meeting. This outlook is based on my confluences and historical behavior. We’ve rallied in both of the last 2 instances when rate cuts were announced, and there’s currently a 75% probability of another cut. That sets up a likely "sell-the-news" scenario, a bullish catalyst for price to move into beforehand.

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$BTC The price is now testing a key lost high-timeframe support range, the same bottoming formation from December 2024 and the January–February base. As I’ll cover in my upcoming update, this is an important test. Because of this, I believe the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious on the low-timeframes. We could still see a rejection here, and if that happens, I’ll scale back into the hedges I trimmed once the high-timeframe support range in blue, the early-April bottoming formation, got tested. Going forward, the setup is simple: the on-chain data, Velo data, and funding rates all point toward upside in the coming weeks. But this short-term volatility is something we have to track. As I mentioned in one of my latest alerts, the Liquidation-Heatmap shows a cluster of overleveraged longs sitting on the downside, and they could be wiped out before the next leg up.

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The bear trap just snapped shut. Funding rates do not lie. On Nov 24 $BTC funding flipped negative at minus 0.0033% for the first time in a month. Translation: the herd got scared, shorted the bottom, and paid the market to take their money. Now we are back to neutral at 0.0023 percent. The foam is gone. The shorts are trapped. The path of least resistance is up. This is the cleanest entry signal you will get all quarter.

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🚨 $BTC Coinbase Premium Just Flipped Deeply Negative U.S. spot demand is evaporating the Coinbase Premium Index has plunged into its lowest negative zone of the entire cycle. When Coinbase trades at a discount, it often signals persistent sell pressure from U.S. participants and a lack of aggressive dip-buying. Premium has stayed below zero for weeks a rare sustained imbalance. Historically, extended negative premiums have aligned with fearful local bottoms or the early stages of deeper macro downtrends. Price action continues to struggle below key liquidity levels as U.S. spot weakness drags the market. ⚠ Until this premium turns positive again, $BTC remains vulnerable, and any bounce is likely to face heavy selling from U.S. traders.

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