Bitcoin ($BTC ) has touched below 90K again
and this time we will try to find the strong catalyst that Bitcoin needs to experience a Bullish Trend again
Okay, crypto adventurers… the hodlers who like to say “we're long term” while checking the chart every 5 minutes… and the market philosophers who believe that life is like a red candlestick: sometimes long, sometimes painful.
Today we are discussing one question for the end of 2025:
Can Bitcoin break through 100 thousand dollars before 2026?
A simple question. The answer? Not as simple as the relationship between us and the crypto market that mood swings every dawn.
Let's break it down. Take a breath. Prepare mentally for the price of Bitcoin to suddenly drop while we discuss this.
How do Prediction Markets see the chance for Bitcoin to reach 100K?
Prediction markets are now like a family WhatsApp group deciding on a holiday date.
Everyone has an opinion... but no one is firm.
Some platforms are giving optimistic signals, as if saying,
“Relax, the chance to 100K is still there. Just chill.”
Meanwhile, others are like,
“Hmm… maybe… but don’t expect too much, okay?”
For example?
prediction markets like Polymarket, the probability #BTC reaching $100K before January 1, 2026 is in the moderately optimistic zone, not euphoric, but also not pessimistic.
The market looks confident, but half-hearted. Like someone who wants to get back together but still remembers old sins.
In summary: the opportunity exists… just not convincing yet.
Bitcoin can reach 100K, but it needs something more than just a bedtime prayer.
Macroeconomics: Fed, inflation, and the drama that always tests patience
Usually, when the Fed lowers interest rates, we are ready to wear festive hats, play the bullish anthem, and get ready to welcome the rally 😂😂😂.
But what happened recently was a plot twist.
The Fed has cut rates several times.
#CPIWatch
But Bitcoin?
Instead of rising, it chose to sink a bit. As if saying,
“I remain a rebel. I won't conform to expectations.”
It's as if investors are sending signals that....
macro stimulus alone turns out to be insufficient to kick Bitcoin into orbit.
No matter how good inflation is, no matter how attractive central bank decisions are, Bitcoin now needs something more real.
Something real. Something firm.
And the answer is….................................................................
Liquidity. The fuel. The Spirit of the Market.
Some analysts have shown that stablecoin inflow has dropped sharply, and this often becomes the root of Bitcoin's weakness.
If stablecoins are the fuel money of crypto, it means right now
the fuel is running low.
Meaning:
Few new buyers
Buying pressure weakens
Market becomes easy to drop
Every bounce just becomes a small reflection before the price gets sleepy again
So yeah...
Bitcoin is not lacking good news...
Bitcoin is lacking fresh funds.
And without fresh funds, reaching 100K is a bit difficult.
ETF Flows: From a turbo machine now turned into a fan
Remember when the ETF first appeared and the market felt like it was being blessed by the Bullish God?
HWAAAA... MY BODY IS STRONG AFTER RECEIVING THE GOD'S BLESSING :V (Victim of dracin sattt)
Billions of dollars are coming in.
Institutions FOMO.
Timeline X is crowded.
Well... that's it for now.
In recent months, ETF flows have become calmer. Like someone who was initially excited to sign up for the gym, then now only comes to take mirror selfies. Or maybe now they are just playing padel.
Slowing inflow makes Bitcoin lose its driving force.
Doesn't mean bearish. But rather a neutral mode.
Golden question: Can Bitcoin reach 100K before 2026?
The answer is:
Can.
Very possible.
But not necessarily.
To reach 100K, Bitcoin needs:
Fresh liquidity
ETF inflow is back on the rise
The Fed's pro-risk decision
Global sentiment that isn't gloomy
and... God's blessing 😇
If not…
we might take a leisurely walk while waiting for a bigger catalyst.
BUT..... We know that in the end this market is sluggish, dropping continuously.
Well, if it keeps dropping... where is the liquidity? above
Currently, BTC is still around 89K, with support in the 87-88K area. If BTC can hold above that support, and can push higher.. then there is potential for BTC to rebound to 104K.
The market is sluggish, we know that the market often hurts, right? Maybe it's time for the market to teach the short sellers
BUT... DYOR!!!!!!!! DYOR!!!
Risk Disclaimer
This is education, not an investment invitation. Crypto is a risky asset. Prices can rise, fall, or roller coaster without permission. Always do your own research and adjust according to our own risk profiles.
