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*Japan: The Risk Markets Are Ignoring* The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) every interest rate hike has dealt Bitcoin a heavy blow: - *March 2024:* 23% drop - *July 2024:* 26% drop - *Jan 2025:* 31% drop There’s a likelihood of a rate hike on Dec 19. If history repeats, *$70,000* could be a conservative estimate—don’t be surprised. *Why it matters:* - BoJ’s moves impact global liquidity. Higher rates in Japan = stronger Yen = capital outflow from risk assets like crypto. - Markets are underestimating this correlation. *Action Plan:* - Watch BoJ announcement (Dec 19). Prepare for volatility. - Consider setting stop-losses around *$86,000* (current support). - If rate hike confirmed, short-term downside to *$70,000–$75,000* possible.
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$BITCOIN Bitcoin's current price is *$90,328*, down 1.85%. On the 4-hour chart, it's forming Higher Highs, indicating a bullish pattern. Support is at *$86,000*—if it holds, recovery chances are strong. Next target would be *$98,000* if resistance breaks. *Technical Indicators:* - *RSI (14):* 44.73 (Neutral) - *MACD (12,26):* Shows buy signal - *Moving Averages:* Strong sell signal (13 sell, 0 buy) - *Overall Sentiment:* Sell (14), Neutral (9), Buy (2)
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*Market Alert 🚨* The US Labor Department has suddenly canceled the October PPI (Producer Price Index) report, sparking turmoil in the market. This isn't a trivial move—the PPI is a key indicator for interest rate decisions, and its absence raises big questions. Traders are now scrutinizing every signal, trying to figure out what this silence means. The PPI measures changes in selling prices received by producers, reflecting inflation pressures before they hit consumers. Its cancellation could indicate data issues, technical problems, or something more significant like policy shifts. *Possible Implications:* - *Interest Rate Uncertainty*: Fed decisions rely heavily on inflation data. Missing PPI data creates volatility. - *Market Volatility*: Investors are cautious; crypto, stocks, and bonds might react sharply to any follow-up news. - *Data Integrity Concerns*: Is this a one-off glitch or part of a larger pattern? *What Traders Should Do:* - Watch for official statements from the Labor Department or Fed. - Check alternative inflation indicators like CPI or core inflation data. - Stay alert for global market reactions and adjust strategies accordingly.
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The $BTC chart on the 4-hour time frame shows $BITCOIN forming a Higher High pattern, creating a trendline. According to this trendline, the support is at 86,000. If $BITCOIN holds above this support, chances of recovery increase. The pattern you're seeing is bullish. After breaking resistance, Bitcoin's next target would be 98,000.
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$BTC Chart VS $ETH Chart
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