$ETH
12.12 Hao's Noon Analysis: "ETH Three Cycles: Consolidation, Direction Awaiting Breakout"
ETH 3446 fell back into consolidation repair, currently neither bulls nor bears have the advantage, the key is to wait for a breakout.
4 hours: Repairing, upper pressure heavy
Rebound strength weak, moving averages entangled with MACD, no trend energy
3350 is the life and death point for bulls, breakout will strengthen
1 hour: Horizontal consolidation EMA
Moving averages entangled with indicators show no direction, a typical consolidation zone, not a trend
15 minutes: Short-term bias towards pullback
Weak upward momentum KDJ death cross pullback probability large for 3220–3230
Big Conclusion (Most Important)
Current main structure = 3220–3320 consolidation range. No breakout above 3350 will not form a trend.
Future Three Directions
Breakout (35%): Stand above 3350 → Look at 3420–3500
Consolidation (45%): 3220–3320 continue to grind
Breakdown (20%): Break below 3180 → Look at 3150/3090
Operation: Light long at 3220–3230
Add positions only above 3350
Stop loss and withdraw below 3180
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