Breaking! Ethereum is about to have an incident! What shocking secrets are hidden in the long and short game? This article can save your life!
From a technical perspective, the resistance at 3400 is obvious, while the primary support is at 3200 - 3250. The short-term trend is leaning towards oscillation and consolidation, with the strength of long and short positions constantly changing. The upward momentum is weakening, while the pullback momentum is strengthening, and volatility is decreasing, indicating a forthcoming choice of direction.
On the fundamental side, the Ethereum Dencun upgrade has improved scalability and user experience, and the staking and deflationary mechanisms provide solid support for the token economic model. The market has long expectations for the U.S. spot Ethereum ETF. However, market hotspots are scattered, with funds and attention being attracted to other high-performance chains, memes, and RWAs, leading to fierce internal competition in Layer 2, and a lack of a single heavyweight event that can directly drive prices to soar in the short term.
From a macro perspective, the environment is also not very friendly to ETH. In terms of global liquidity, the Federal Reserve's policy is shifting towards maintaining high interest rates for a longer time, expectations of tightening U.S. dollar liquidity are strengthening, and high U.S. Treasury yields are suppressing the willingness to invest capital in the crypto market.
Overall, the market is still in a confrontation between strong fundamentals and a tightening macro environment. Before the trend becomes clear, defense is more important. Be patient and wait for the opportunity to strike, just like how we publicly predicted the operation in advance the night before (as shown in the figure) and directly made over 200 points profit.
Blindly making trades ultimately results in losses greater than gains. Cognition determines height. Enter 聊天室, for daily sharing of trading logic, leading you to find opportunities for flipping your investment!
