The era of 'everyone makes their own blockchain' has come to an end. The market is entering a selection phase, where only those Layer 1s that can offer real value will survive: scalability, ecosystem, security, and sustainable economy. 2025–2030 is the period when the role of L1 will change dramatically.
Today Layer 1 competes not with each other, but with the architecture of modularity. Rollups, DA layers, and L3 create ecosystems that operate faster and cheaper than traditional L1. To remain significant, base networks must adapt.
### Bitcoin
It will maintain its status as a global reserve. The network will remain minimalist, but development around it will occur through L2: Lightning, BitVM, sidechains. BTC is not infrastructure, but an asset harbor.
### Ethereum
By 2030, it transforms into a global consensus layer.
Its strength lies in the security and L2 ecosystem. ETH remains the key L1 for modular Web3.
### Solana
It will remain the flagship of monolithic architecture. High speed and low fees provide a competitive advantage in DeFi, NFT, trading, and real business. Solana will grow independently of the modular trend.
### TON
It will integrate into mass applications. The Telegram ecosystem creates unique access to an audience of hundreds of millions of people. TON is capable of occupying the niche of 'crypto for the mass market'.
### NEAR, Aptos, Sui
These L1s will fight for their place through UX, frameworks, and integration with Web2. But they will have to respond to the challenge of modularity, otherwise they will be swallowed by L2.
### Key Trends by 2030
- Fewer new L1s, more new L2s
- DA layers will become the standard
- Monolithic chains will compete in speed and UX
- The winner will be the one who creates not a blockchain, but an ecosystem
### Conclusion
The future of Layer 1 is adaptation. Those who find their place in the modular world will become the foundation of Web3. The others will dissolve among rollups and specialized networks.
Disclaimer: Financial markets are always associated with risks. This article is not financial advice, but educational material. Everyone makes their own decisions and bears responsibility.