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[Today's Market Analysis - 12.13]
For technical analysis learning only, does not constitute investment advice, profits and losses are at your own risk.
1. Market Overview: Bearish fluctuations, capital is cautious.
The market is bearish, overall risk appetite is weakening.
There is still capital in the market, but they are unwilling to aggressively chase highs.
Emotions are somewhat pessimistic, and short-term sentiment is weak.
The sellers are active, with stronger short-term shorting power, especially against ETH pressure.
Conclusion: Today feels more like a day of fluctuating with a bearish bias, suitable for patient range trading, not suitable for emotional heavy betting.
2. BTC daily report and intraday trading opportunities
Latest price: about 90,191 USDT
Blave key data:
Neutral chips, still relatively concentrated, long-term structure is acceptable.
Market slightly bearish, short-term active selling slightly dominates.
Whales are actively speculating around the current 90k level.
Reference trading range and points (suitable for intraday / 1-2 days):
Long position thoughts:
Gradual low absorption zone: 89,400 ~ 90,000 USDT
Better buying point (spike rebound): 88,600 ~ 89,000 USDT, need to see a clear stop-loss signal before adding positions.
Long position stop-loss: Effective drop below 88,300 (1h close below) may consider exiting.
Target one: 90,900 ~ 91,400 USDT (regular intraday rebound)
Target two: 92,200 ~ 92,800 USDT (in strong conditions, can move stop-loss to lock in profits)
Short / profit-taking thoughts (secondary strategy):
Tentative short / long profit-taking zone: 91,800 ~ 92,800 USDT
Short position stop-loss: Break above 93,300 and hold above for 1h.
Short position rebound target: First look at 90,800, if weaker see back to 90,000.
Trading tips: Currently still in a high-level consolidation zone, suggest small positions + gradual entry, try to use stop-loss orders to control drawdowns.
3. ETH daily report and intraday trading opportunities
Latest price: about 3,082 USDT
Clearly pessimistic, ETH sentiment is weaker than BTC.
Short-term bearish dominates the market.
Chips are high and concentrated, suggesting that the main force may have a bearish hedging implication in the short term.
There is a possibility that whales are hedging or speculating at high levels.
Intraday thoughts: Weak fluctuation with a bearish bias, prioritize considering a bidirectional range of 'short high, long low'.
Reference trading range and points:
Short / reducing positions thoughts (priority):
Preferred resistance zone: 3,110 ~ 3,150 USDT —— if the rebound is weak, try shorting lightly or reduce spot positions.
Strong resistance zone: 3,160 ~ 3,200 USDT —— if it rises with BTC but lacks volume, consider adding shorts appropriately.
Short position stop-loss: Break above 3,230 and hold above for 1h.
Rebound target one: 3,040 ~ 3,060 USDT
Rebound target two: 2,990 ~ 3,010 USDT (hitting this zone may gradually take profit on shorts and pay attention to rebound long opportunities).
Long position thoughts (counter-trend short rebound):
Conservative low absorption zone: 3,000 ~ 3,040 USDT, small positions gradually try long.
Extreme downside buying point: If it spikes down to 2,950 ~ 2,980 with volume and quickly recovers, consider trying ultra-short bottom fishing.
Long position stop-loss: Effective drop below 2,930 is not advisable to hold.
Rebound target: First look at 3,070 ~ 3,110, if strong then look at 3,150.
Rhythm suggestion: ETH is currently weaker than BTC; if a 'BTC sideways, ETH rebounds without volume' situation occurs, the win rate for high-level short positions is usually higher.
4. Final summary and next steps
Overall: BTC is slightly bullish in high-level fluctuations, ETH is weakly bearish; both are more suitable for intraday range speculation rather than chasing orders.
Position suggestion: Use a combination of light positions + gradual entry + stop-loss to avoid putting all bets on a single direction.
