Crypto friends, I am Rui Shen. Today's ETH market can be described as 'magical realism'! On one side, the big shots are crazily increasing their long positions, on the other side, funds are fleeing wildly. Who should you trust? Follow Rui Shen, read on!
News: The big shots 'hold on' ≠ the market bottom
'Ma Ji Da Ge' and that BTC OG whale are indeed increasing their ETH long positions, one adding up to 9.5 million USD, and the other up to 540 million USD! Sounds impressive, right? But look at their opening and liquidation prices: one opened at 3212, liquidation price 3022; the other opened at 3173, now facing a floating loss of 20 million USD! This is not 'optimistic about the future market', this is clearly a classic self-rescue operation of 'being stuck at a high position and forced to reduce costs'. Don't mistake the big shots' 'helplessness' for your 'opportunity'.
Technical + capital: cold data in a 'roaring bearish' sentiment.
Technical indicators are collapsing across the board: from 30 minutes to 5 hours, all are 'strong sell', daily death cross, MACD below the 0 axis, energy shrinking—bearish patterns are solidifying.
Capital is in a 'great escape': looking at the capital flow chart, all periods over 4 hours show a net outflow, with a total outflow of 19.22 billion USD over 10 days! The market cap is 0.51%, indicating that major funds are continuously and massively withdrawing. This forms a cruel contrast with the 'personal behavior' of the big players mentioned above: institutions are running, retail investors are copying, and big players are holding.
瑞神观点与策略：
瑞神看空ETH后市走势
Never blindly follow big players: their money is unlimited, while your capital is limited. They can hold on until the end of time, but you may exit after one hold.
Currently, we are doing only one thing: avoiding risks. The ETH trend is clearly downward, with key support around 3000 and resistance at 3260. Before capital sees a net inflow again and clear reversal signals appear technically, all rebounds are opportunities to reduce positions, not reasons to go long.
Be patient and wait for clear signals: either break through 3260 with volume to reverse the trend, or drop to the strong support area and stabilize. At other times, watching is safer than acting.
Crypto friends, the market always speaks with real money, not with the titles of big players. I interpret this data and divergences every day, not to create anxiety, but to help you avoid those traps that seem like opportunities.
If you do not know the specific entry timing and exit points, as well as for the fans holding positions, you can follow 瑞神. 瑞神 will announce the daily coins and entry points as well as exit timing in the chat room!#ETH走势分析
