$pippin Today my mood is complicated: the direction is still bullish, but my hand has already reached for the 'sell' button. Guess who will become the buyer?
First, let's look at the monitoring conclusion: the bullish direction hasn't changed, but 'the bullish momentum is weakening + preparing for staged selling' is the core message. Therefore, today the market is most likely to move not in a continuous upward trend, but rather in a 'raise → induce buying → sell in batches → drop and hit people'; strategically, don't chase long positions, prioritize waiting for short opportunities, and long positions should only focus on reducing positions or closing thoughts. Forcing longs is just fuel in the selling cycle.
Signal disassembly: Dealer direction = bullish, indicating that the underlying capital is still controlling the market, not completely turning bearish; but dealer action = bullish strength weakening, about to phase out selling, translated into plain language means: can still pull, will pull, but the purpose of the pull is more like raising the price to a better selling position, letting the chasing buyers come to catch; trading advice = look for short opportunities, flatten long positions, which means the short-term advantage is in 'the end of the rebound short', not 'buying on the dip'; risk control = no going long, indicating that this is not a game of luck for you, it's a game of discipline for you.
Key interval:
Bearish pressure/selling upper zone 0.34770-0.36599, this segment is the most comfortable 'selling zone' for the dealer, the further up, the easier it is to have false breakthroughs, surges, and long upper shadows;
Capital absorption/support zone first layer 0.29131-0.31330, this is a position where 'there are people to catch when it smashes down, and after catching, it rebounds again' easily appears; deeper support steps in order
0.17324-0.18091
0.16100-0.16592
0.14770-0.15865
The market script gives you the three most common scenarios:
①Inducing buying and selling: Price pushed to 0.34770-0.36599, the market looks strong, and people in the group shout to take off, but if it doesn't stabilize or pulls back after an hour, this is the process of selling while pulling up; those chasing the buy are just picking up the shares;
②Sideways grinding: Not a big drop, each rebound weaker than the last, slowly wearing down the bullish confidence, and finally kicking down to around 0.313 to clear leverage;
③Directly smashing down: Poor market cooperation or the main force wants to be quick; if 0.313 can't hold, then look for 0.180/0.165/0.158 for deep water support. Trading strategy (old style just talks about execution): Don't chase short positions, only wait for 'entering and exiting the goods leads to not going up' to take action—focus on 0.34770-0.36599; if there is a high surge followed by a pullback, a long upper shadow in one hour, and a second surge that doesn't surpass the previous high, consider this 'not going up' signal again; the first take profit looks at around 0.31330 (if it reaches the support zone, take some profit, don't be greedy), a stronger target is 0.29131; if 0.291 is effectively broken and can't pull back up, then look down for the next steps. How to handle long positions: Because the signal clearly states 'do not go long', so don't tell stories, just take action—if you have longs, take the opportunity to reduce or flatten in batches during a rebound, don't add positions in the range of 0.34770-0.36599; if you really want to go long, you can only wait until it drops to the support zone and shows clear stability, but this does not belong to the current signal recommendation. Risk control in one sentence: The biggest risk for this stock today is not 'will it rise', but 'looks strong but is actually selling'; just remember—chasing longs in the resistance zone = giving away, being greedy in the support zone = getting pulled; strict small positions, strict stop losses, better to earn less than to act as liquidity in the selling range.
