At two thirty in the morning, the worst fear is the exchange popping up 'insufficient balance'

Last night, MINI had a long wick of -47%, turning my WeChat group into a mourning hall: some shared screenshots of liquidations, while others posted 'waiting on the rooftop'.

I was munching on a cold pancake, my account down 18%, but the system didn’t give me a liquidation warning—it's not because I'm clever, but because I treat small matters as SOP, living a bit longer than the candlestick.

① First, filter the heat.

I set hard indicators for myself: CMC heat ranking top 200 + Twitter 24h discussion volume > 5k posts, only then do I add to my watchlist.

On December 8th, I brought APT into observation, seeing its discussion volume quadruple in one day and trending at 7th, resulting in a maximum spike of 18% the next day; I took my 7% profit and ran.

Obscure coins? No matter how tempting, I won't touch them; if no one picks up, it's a dead pool.

② Follow the money.

The scale of stablecoins is my 'steering wheel'.

Last night, before the spike, the USDC pool had a net inflow of 380 million U in ten minutes, with large orders sweeping the 0.96→0.98 range; I immediately moved my stop-loss up to 0.95 to protect my principal.

The leading BTC accounts for 62% of market value; if it doesn't move, I won't take risks; following the crowd is more reliable than blazing my own trail.

③ Positioning is like peeling an onion.

One hand is divided into three parts: exploratory 20%, following trends 30%, and only when the trend stabilizes do I commit the last 50%.

Last week, I started peeling PEPE at 0.000012, added another layer at 0.0000105, and made my final move at 0.0000145, with an overall cost of 0.0000128; after a 14% rebound, I took the profit, keeping the drawdown manageable for a good night's sleep.

④ Write the process on the wall.

The high and low points of the range, breakout points, stop-loss prices—I print and stick them on my monitor; if the price hasn’t triggered, I won’t check the market to prevent itchy fingers.

Last night’s long wick only prompted action when it hit the preset buy zone, with zero emotional involvement.

In the crypto world, it doesn’t matter how smart you are; what matters is whether you have the fortune to stay at the table.

Repeat small tasks, and the market will eventually pay you by the hour.

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