$LUNA
🔥🚀The Bank of Japan is about to raise interest rates again, will the dramatic drop script repeat? This time it might really be different. 👉来聊天室聊聊有啥不一样 ！
Do you remember March? When the Bank of Japan moved, $BTC dropped from 65,000 to 50,000, and the entire market suffered. But now, the same interest rate hike is met with completely different market sentiment—fear seems to be absent.
🤔Why is the crypto circle so “calm” this time? Two major trump cards are supporting it: $ETH
1️⃣Expectations have long been fully priced in
The market is not foolish. Japanese government bond yields have soared this year, clearly signaling that “the central bank will continue to raise interest rates.” Speculators have piled up long positions in yen, and with good news already priced in, it’s hard to create a big wave.
2️⃣ The Federal Reserve is the “real big brother”
This is the core logic. Last time the Bank of Japan raised interest rates, the Federal Reserve was still hawkish, raising rates and tapering. What about now? The Federal Reserve is even cutting rates and injecting liquidity. The global liquidity tap (the Federal Reserve) has started to loosen, enough to offset the tightening of Japan's secondary tap. The macro shock index has significantly decreased.
🫵So, where is the real focus of the interest rate hike?
Next Friday, raising to 0.75% is a foregone conclusion. All eyes are on the guidance for the “neutral interest rate.” The central bank internally believes that a rate of 0.75% or even above 1% is considered “normal.” If it hints at future space, it may face pressure in the medium to long term; if it expresses caution, then it will be seen as fully priced in. Pay special attention to👉25-year wealth code Musk 🔥PU PP IES 🔥Don’t miss out❕❕❕❕
😁In summary:
Interest rates will rise, but the market has already put on a “bulletproof vest.” The current narrative is dominated by “the Fed's pivot” and “ETF capital inflow,” making it difficult for a well-anticipated adjustment by the Bank of Japan to single-handedly rewrite the bull market script.🌊
This time, are you bearish or bullish? Let’s discuss in the comments.
