According to the market sentiment indicator CME Federal Reserve Watch, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations for early 2026 may impact global asset liquidity (including cryptocurrencies). The specific data is as follows: For the meeting on January 28, 2026, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6%; for the meeting on March 18, 2026, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 50.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 41.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 8.1%. These expectations reflect a divergence of views in the market regarding the interest rate path. #美联储降息