Recently, the market fluctuations have indeed stirred people's hearts. I have seen many friends feeling anxious due to changes in the market, even staying up late to monitor the situation, and I completely understand this feeling.
Previously, I have shared my judgments on market trends from multiple dimensions. Today, I want to change the perspective and discuss why I believe that the current situation may not be the beginning of a bear market, based on the characteristics of market cycles.
My several observations:
The market fundamentals are different from before: as the industry matures, the value support of the market is continuously strengthening. Although short-term fluctuations are intense, in the long run, the overall value range is gradually rising.
The current trend does not match typical bear market characteristics: In the early stages of a true bear market, risks are often accumulated through a cycle of multiple rebounds and declines. However, the current trend is relatively direct, and this clearing method sometimes leaves room for subsequent recovery.
Emotional factors have a greater impact than fundamentals: When technical indicators fail in the short term, panic emotions can easily amplify volatility. This requires us to penetrate the surface and focus on long-term fundamental elements such as ecological development and institutional participation.
Advice for friends:
Stay calm: Market fluctuations are normal, and avoid making impulsive trading decisions driven by emotions.
Focus on the long term: Pay attention to the progress of the project itself and the improvement of industry infrastructure, rather than short-term price fluctuations.
Operate cautiously: For uncertain market conditions, observing and learning are often more prudent choices.
Every market adjustment is a test of understanding. I hope everyone can maintain a stable mindset and learn and grow together.
What do you think about the current market? Feel free to discuss rationally in the comments section~
(This article is only a personal market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. The market has risks, and one must be cautious when entering.)#美联储降息 $BTC
