HBAR has little time left. The token has dropped nearly 2% in the last 24 hours and about 10% over the week. The HBAR price has broken several short-term support levels and is now close to $0.12.

This level is important. HBAR is just 1% above a breaking area that could pull the price down to $0.10. If that happens, the price would drop 12% to 13% from today's levels. But a positive signal is still holding the situation together. If it disappears, the decline could happen faster.

Big money is leaving, it weakens the situation

The greatest pressure comes from how large HBAR holders act.

You can see it on the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which shows whether large investors are buying or selling. CMF combines price movements with trading volume. If CMF is above zero, large players are buying. If CMF goes below zero, selling occurs.

For HBAR, CMF has become much worse. Since December 7, CMF has dropped over 400% and is far below zero. In previous declines, CMF was still above zero. Buyers then held back selling pressure. Now that support is gone.

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One can also see clear negative divergence. Between October 10 and December 14, the HBAR price made higher bottoms while CMF made lower bottoms. This shows that the recent price stability did not receive support from large investors.

Simply put, the price tried to hold while large players sold slowly. This imbalance makes HBAR vulnerable.

A positive signal still holds the floor.

Despite weak signals from large investors, an indicator still provides a positive signal.

The indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the strength and speed of price movements. RSI shows when sellers might begin to tire. Values close to 30 usually mean the market is oversold.

On HBAR's daily chart, RSI has created a positive divergence. Between November 21 and December 14, the HBAR price made a lower bottom, but RSI made a higher one. This is a classic sign of trend reversal.

P.S. The HBAR price is in clear decline and has lost over 48% in three months.

It shows that sellers are still pushing the price downwards, but with less force each time. The price is falling, but there is weaker pull behind it. For now, this RSI divergence is the last positive that HBAR has left.

Will the HBAR price fall or reverse the trend?

Price development ultimately determines the outcome. HBAR is trading under a declining trend line that has stopped every rise in recent weeks. At the same time, the price is at a Fibonacci support near 0.12 USD. That line is the base of the falling triangle, along with the descending trend line.

This area is HBAR's last line of defense.

If 0.12 USD is broken, the next major support is near 0.10 USD. Then the decline of 12% to 13% would be confirmed and the negative trend would continue.

To stabilize, HBAR must reclaim 0.13 USD. That area follows an important Fibonacci zone and shows that buyers are coming back.

A stronger reversal will only occur if the price goes above 0.13 USD. Then the price will be above the declining trend line and the situation will become neutral instead of negative.