The probability of an interest rate hike at the Bank of Japan's meeting on December 19th exceeds 80%. Institutions generally predict a 25 basis point increase to 0.75%, initiating a gradual tightening cycle. The rate hike will trigger the unwinding of yen carry trades, with funds withdrawing from high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. The prior warming of expectations has already led to significant corrections in BTC and ETH. In the short term, the cryptocurrency market faces intensified volatility, while in the long term, attention should be on the pace of rate hikes and the hedging effects of the Federal Reserve's policies. It is recommended to reduce leverage and focus on policy guidance from the meeting and the trends in the USD/JPY exchange rate.
#加密市场观察
#中本聪
$币安人生
