The macroeconomic analyst Luke Gromen retracts his forecasts regarding #البيتكوين
Global macroeconomic analyst Luke Gromen has expressed caution regarding Bitcoin in the near term, warning of the possibility of its price declining to around $40,000 by 2026 as macroeconomic conditions and investor trends change. While he still supports the "value-based trading" strategy in the long term, Gromen believes that gold and some selected stocks reflect this strategy better than #Bitcoin Currently.
Speaking on a podcast, Groman pointed to the failure of #BTC to register new record levels against gold, its breaking of key moving average levels, and the increasing discussion around quantum computing risks as indicators of a decline in the risk-to-reward ratio in the near term. This represents a shift from his previous stance, where he viewed Bitcoin and gold as the main beneficiaries of financial dominance and rising debt levels.
Macroeconomic concerns and fears of quantum computing
Groman's comments come amid a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty, weak U.S. economic data, and questions about Bitcoin's ability to maintain gains after the launch of spot exchange-traded funds. At the same time, concerns about quantum computing have shifted from being theoretical to a perceived medium-term risk in some market circles, even as most cryptography experts affirm that real threats are still a way off.
Bitcoin analysts oppose
Bitcoin analysts have criticized Groman's perspective, arguing that the lagging performance against gold and the breaking of moving averages often indicates selling during price dips rather than at market peaks. Analyst Onkin, Chekmit, stated that the situation relies more on social narratives than on data, while Troy Cross, a researcher at the Bitcoin Policy Institute, described the outlook as a trade based on perceived quantum risk, rather than an actual cryptographic threat.
Flows, devaluation, and long-term strategy
Market data remains mixed. After significant outflows in November, U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds returned to modest net inflows in December. The hypothesis of currency devaluation continues to support many long-term positive forecasts for Bitcoin alongside gold, even as some macroeconomic supporters now prefer to exercise tactical caution.
#البيتكوين #الإيثريوم #الأسواق_الرقمية #العملات_المشفرة #صناديق_ETF #التدفقات_المالية #تحليل_سوق_الكريبتو #الاستثمار_الرقمي #أخبار_البلوكشين #تداول_العملات_الرقمية $BTC
