Recently, many friends have been asking: How much BNB has been burned this quarter? When will the total supply be reduced to 100 million? As an old player who has been following the BNB ecosystem since the early days, today I won't refer to the white paper, but I'll use the simplest language to help you calculate this 'deflation account'.
First, let's look at the current situation: From the initial 200 million to about 137.7 million currently in circulation, BNB has accumulated over 62 million burned. Looking at 2025, approximately 1.5 million will be burned each quarter, which adds up to about 6 million per year. At this rate, to burn the remaining 37.7 million, won't we have to wait until 2032?
Don't rush, it's not calculated that way.
The key is not in 'constant speed', but in 'variables'
The amount of BNB burned each quarter is actually determined by a formula:
Burn amount ≈ (Number of blocks × Adjustment coefficient K) / Average BNB price for the quarter
Here are two key points:
The higher the price, the fewer the burn amount (but the burn value may be larger);
The more active the on-chain, the faster the burning speed.
In other words, if the price of BNB continues to rise, simply looking at the burn amount may decrease, but because the unit price is higher, the actual burning value will still accelerate. On the other hand, if the BNB chain ecosystem becomes increasingly prosperous and on-chain transactions are frequent, the pace of burning will also be passively accelerated.
My view is: the true 'meeting standard time' is likely to be significantly advanced.
Based on the current development trend of the BNB chain—especially the continuous expansion of ecological applications and the ongoing effectiveness of Gas fee burning (BEP-95)—I believe that the time when the total amount drops to 100 million coins is likely to fall between 2027-2028, which is much earlier than the 2032 estimate based on the current rate.
Once the total amount falls below 100 million coins, the quarterly automatic burning will stop, but the on-chain Gas fee burning will continue. This means that BNB will enter a new stage of 'slow deflation' or even 'moderate deflation', and the logic of scarcity will become clearer.
Insights for ordinary holders
If you are concerned about BNB because of the 'deflation model', you must understand that in the future, what affects the price will not only be the burning speed but also the real demand for ecological use. In the long run, the value support for BNB will gradually shift from 'burning expectations' to 'ecological value'. The combination of both will make it more stable.
Finally, a brief summary
The deflationary path of BNB is like a 'dynamic speed change run'—price, on-chain activity, and ecological development are all rhythm controllers. As ordinary players, understanding the variables behind the model allows us to hold on firmly.
I will update this type of 'model interpretation' and market observation in the community every day. If you want to understand trends in advance and avoid cognitive traps, we do not boast about 'tenfold coins', but instead study 'why it can rise' diligently.
Slowly becoming rich is more worthwhile to pursue than getting rich overnight.
In other words, if you currently feel helpless and confused in trading, and want to know more about cryptocurrency-related knowledge and cutting-edge information, follow me@标哥说币
