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During the sharp drop a few weeks ago, demand for downside protection increased as price moved into the low $80K range, reflecting higher uncertainty. Since then, the market has stabilized and expectations for extreme moves have eased. However, implied volatility remains above the very low levels seen over the past six months, a more active volatility environment than before.
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#Bitcoin is trading around $86.4K. Short term holders are in loss with the cost basis at $101.8K, which keeps pressure on the upside. Active Investors Mean is at $87.9K, acting as the immediate balance level. The True Market Mean at $81.3K remains strong support and keeps the overall structure healthy. Realized Price at $56.3K shows long term holders are still comfortable and not forced to sell.
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The latest #Bitcoin selloff triggered the most significant 7 day change in short term holder cost basis since the FTX low in 2022 around $16K. This suggests a sharp shakeout among recent entrants, with panic driven selling and liquidations playing a major role. In past cycles, events like this have often marked a reset in market structure, clearing excess risk and allowing stronger hands to step in. Volatility may persist but these moments tend to define important inflection zones.
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#Bitcoin has outperformed nearly every major crypto sector over the past three months. This consistent gap in performance reflects a market where capital is strongly biased toward #BTC. Investors are showing a clear preference for stability and depth of liquidity, while riskier sectors struggle to attract sustained inflows. Unless sentiment shifts meaningfully, Bitcoin is expected to stay in control of broader market trends.
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An ELR reading of 0.18 highlights a clear sense of caution in the #XRP market on Binance. This suggests that traders are not aggressively committing to positions yet, as the market continues to reposition itself. Such a low reading often reflects uncertainty and reduced risk appetite, indicating that participants are waiting for stronger confirmation before making decisive moves. Overall, this phase points to XRP building a more stable and balanced foundation, which could set the stage for a clearer directional move once confidence returns and volume strengthens.
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