XRP remains in a well-defined bearish channel following a strong rejection from the $3.40–$3.65 supply zone, where price topped near the Fib 1.0 extension. This marked a clear distribution phase and initiated a sustained multi-month downtrend.
The bearish momentum strengthened as XRP consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, respecting the descending channel structure visible on the chart.
EMA Structure (Strong Bearish Bias)
XRP is trading below all major EMAs, which are now acting as dynamic resistance:
20 EMA – $2.053
50 EMA – $2.199
100 EMA – $2.370
200 EMA – $2.441
This stacked EMA alignment confirms a bearish market structure, with every relief bounce facing selling pressure near the $2.20–$2.45 zone.
Key Demand Zone Holding
Price is currently consolidating just above the $1.90–$1.82 major demand zone, which aligns with the Fib 0 level at $1.82. This zone has historically acted as strong support and is now absorbing sell pressure, suggesting bearish momentum is weakening.
As long as XRP holds above this demand area, a short-term relief bounce remains possible.
Upside Levels to Watch
For early stabilization, XRP needs to reclaim:
$2.254 (0.236 Fib) → first sign of strength
$2.523 (0.382 Fib) → breakdown retest zone
A stronger recovery would require acceptance above:
$2.741 (0.5 Fib)
$2.958 (0.618 Fib)
A full trend reversal would only be confirmed on a breakout above $3.26–$3.65, which currently remains unlikely without a broader market shift.
Downside Risk
Failure to hold the $1.82 demand zone would invalidate the current stabilization attempt and expose XRP to deeper downside continuation, breaking the macro support structure.
RSI (14)
37–38 range → weak momentum, but flattening
This supports the idea of consolidation rather than aggressive selling.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance Zones
$2.254 (0.236 Fib)
$2.199–$2.441 (20–200 EMA cluster)
$2.523 (0.382 Fib)
$2.741 (0.5 Fib)
$2.958 (0.618 Fib)
$3.267 (0.786 Fib)
$3.661 (Fib 1.0 / major supply)
Support Zones
$1.90–$1.82 (major demand / Fib 0)
Below $1.82 → bearish continuation risk
RSI
37.8 — bearish but stabilizing
📌 Summary
XRP is consolidating at a macro demand zone after an extended bearish move. While the broader trend remains bearish below the $2.25–$2.45 resistance cluster, weakening sell pressure may allow a short-term relief bounce. A confirmed trend reversal requires reclaiming $2.74+, while a breakdown below $1.82 would signal further downside.
