Macro Perspective: Concerns about Quantum Computing and the Structural Strength of BTC
■ About Quantum Risks
Michael Saylor's view is consistent with market structure and realistic.
The Bitcoin network can be upgraded gradually.
Valid BTC will transition to new secure addresses.
BTC with lost private keys is essentially frozen (supply reduction).
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Supply reduction × Security enhancement = Long-term price uplift factor.
On the other hand, as a consensus among experts,
The timing for the practical implementation of quantum risks is uncertain.
The short-term risk of market collapse is extremely low.
It is considered, at this stage, to be a "theme stop."
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🎯 Comprehensive Judgment (Medium to Long-Term)
The current range is a calm before the next major trend.
$108,000 to $110,000 is an extremely important turning point.
Clearly breaking above on a monthly basis → The scenario of continuing the bull market in 2026 is highly likely.
Technical Structure
The monthly chart is very similar to the bottoming phase of 2022.
RSI maintains above 50 → The long-term trend remains bullish.
Prices significantly exceed major long-term support even in the recent high price range.
Downward Risk Assessment
As long as it can maintain in the $85,000 range,
→ The decline is not a "collapse" but a healthy range formation.
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🚀 Expectations at Upward Break
$108K break = The starting point for the next large upward wave.
Medium to Long-Term Target
👉 $140,000 to $150,000 (Assumed for 2026)
