🔥 Prediction Markets are becoming the "leading indicators" for macroeconomic data
Prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are providing market signals "faster" than traditional forecasting models.
🖤 Kalshi’s CPI market reflects real-time inflation expectations, far surpassing models like Nowcast which only adjust after official data is released.
🖤 Prediction markets are aggregating information faster than statistical models
🖤 Polymarket predicts global events a month in advance with 90% accuracy
“Interest rate data from BOJ" and “the successor to the FED chair" are being closely monitored on Polymarket 💪
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