ETH is likely to trade in a range with high volatility; key entry levels are around $3,000–3,200, for partial exits — $3,400–3,550, target expansions — $3,850–4,300; set the stop-loss below $2,650–2,800 depending on risk.

Current market picture

As of the latest analytical reviews, December showed increased volatility and pressure following November's sell-offs; at the same time, many analysts note that $3,000 acts as important support, and a successful technical upgrade and institutional inflows create conditions for recovery in 2026. Short-term impulses depend on macro news and the market's reaction to network upgrades.

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Technical levels for trading

- Critical support: $2,650–2,800 — a breakout strengthens the bearish scenario; holding — a chance for a bounce.

- Basic entry (accumulation): $3,000–3,200 — area for DCA or partial entry upon volume confirmation.

- Primary target / partial exit: $3,400–3,550 — level for profit taking during the first wave of growth.

- Expansion / aggressive target: $3,850–4,295+ — upon breakout of resistances and favorable volume, an increase to these levels is possible.

(Levels are gathered based on the latest technical reviews and analysts' forecasts; adapt to your risk.)

Specific entry and exit plan

1. Position A (conservative): entry by DCA at $3,200 → $3,000 → $2,800; overall stop-loss — $2,650; partial exit at $3,400, keep the remainder to $3,850.

2. Position B (trade): single entry upon breakout and retest of $3,240–3,300 with a volume of 30% of the usual position; stop-loss below the local minimum; take-profit at $3,550 and $4,295 for trailing.

3. If the price falls below $2,650: close risky longs and wait for consolidation; consider short positions only during confirmed trends and volumes.

- Risk per trade: no more than 1–2% of capital.

- Position size: calculate based on the distance to the stop-loss.

- Trailing: move stop-losses to break-even after securing 50% of target profit.

- Avoid increasing the lot size during a losing streak.

What to monitor in real time

- Volumes on breakouts and liquidity on exchanges.

- On-chain metrics: exchange reserves, large address activity, inflows into staking.

- News on upgrades and regulation — they can cause "sell-the-news" or, conversely, capital inflow.

Use clear entry/exit levels, strict stop-losses, and DCA to reduce entry volatility; adapt the plan to your risk and monitor volumes and on-chain signals.

S. B. - "REFERENCE POINT"

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