I warned about this yesterday.
Now the threat is **clearer — and bigger**.
🇯🇵 Markets are pricing a **~100% probability** of a BOJ rate hike.
And history says this is **NOT bullish for Bitcoin**.
📉 **The scary part?**
After *every* major rate-hike cycle, BTC has seen **violent selloffs** — often **20%+**.
But this time… it’s not about a tiny 0.25% move.
⚠️ **It’s about what BREAKS when Japan finally ends free money.**
Here’s what most people still don’t understand 👇
💴 **Japan has been the world’s cheapest money printer for YEARS**
Funds borrowed yen at near-zero rates →
➡️ converted to USD
➡️ bought stocks, bonds, crypto, private credit… EVERYTHING
Yes — a LOT of that leverage flowed straight into **Bitcoin**.
Now ask yourself:
👉 What happens when that money suddenly costs more?
Exactly.
🧨 **Flashback:**
During the 2022 Fed hikes, BTC didn’t “slowly dip” —
it **crashed 67% in months**.
These moves don’t come with headlines.
They hit during **illiquid hours**, when buyers disappear.
🔥 **Why BTC is especially exposed:**
• Trades 24/7
• Extremely liquid
• First asset sold when funds need cash FAST
• Stronger yen = weaker dollar assets
• Risk gets dumped instantly
That’s why BOJ shocks cause **FAST drops**, not gentle pullbacks.
👀 **Warning signs are already here:**
– Tight 5% price ranges
– Volatility spikes during Asia hours
– Sudden selloffs with NO news
If the BOJ hikes **and hints more are coming**, the message is brutal:
🚫 Cheap global liquidity is DONE
💣 Forced selling is coming
No — Bitcoin isn’t going to zero.
It’s more mature than 2022.
But the **easy leverage era is ending**.
🧠 **This is how big resets usually begin.**
⚠️ Overleveraged? Reassess immediately.
🧊 Patient? These moments often create the best opportunities.
I’m watching this VERY closely — and you sho
uld too.
