Based on the latest data, the available information shows that "whales" (large investors) are behaving differently towards the PEPE currency. There are significant purchases, but they have not halted the overall downward trend so far, as their impact varies in the short and long term.
The following table shows the main whale movements and their potential impact:
Accumulation activity (buying)
· Activity description: Significant increases in holdings of large investors.
· Market impact level: Medium to high (indicates long-term confidence).
· Recent details: In early December 2025, the top 100 wallets increased their holdings by 3.92%, and the largest whales increased their holdings by approximately 12.97%. Significant purchases were also recorded in January 2025, such as the purchase of 280 billion and 200.4 billion coins by different whales.
Selling activity
· Activity description: Large sell orders or transfer of tokens to exchanges for sale.
· Market impact level: High (creates immediate selling pressure).
· Recent details: Billions of tokens were reported to have been transferred to exchanges for sale in early January 2025. Data also indicates an increase in PEPE availability on exchanges, suggesting a willingness from some investors (including small traders) to sell.
⚖️ How do you interpret these contradictions?
Whale activity seems contradictory and has several interpretations:
1. Different strategy from small investors: Whales often buy during periods of weakness and significant downturns, aiming for long-term investment, while small investors tend to sell during these periods out of fear.
2. War among the whales themselves: Not all large investors follow a single strategy. What the market observes may be the result of purchases from whales who believe the price is low, while others sell to take profits or due to bearish expectations.
3. Timing of impact: Large purchases from whales may not lead to a rapid price increase. They may wait weeks or months for broader market conditions to change and momentum to shift.
In summary, whale accumulation indicates that some large investors view the current price as a buying opportunity, but selling pressure from other investors and technical factors still dominate the short-term landscape.
📈 Forecast based on whale activity
Currently, analyses indicate two main scenarios depending on how these dynamics evolve:
· Bearish scenario (short term): If selling pressure continues, the price may target $0.00000375, representing a risk of an 18% decline from November 2025 levels.
· Bullish scenario (long term): For a real recovery to begin, the price of PEPE must first rise above $0.00000466, then decisively break the $0.00000636 level. If the long-term accumulation by whales absorbs the selling pressure and stabilizes the market, it may pave the way for a rebound.
Overall, whale activity is a strong indicator to monitor, but it is not a guarantee of price direction, especially in a speculative and highly volatile market like meme coins.
