Family! Those who stayed up late last night watching the market know, right? Were you shocked by BTC's sudden surge that made you break out in a cold sweat? Some rushed to chase, some were afraid of being trapped, and others were torn about whether to take profits. Don't worry! Today, as someone who has been in this game for 5 years, I will explain the underlying logic of this market wave in plain language. Here’s the conclusion: this is not a small rebound, but a clear signal of big capital entering the market!
First, let’s talk about the two hottest points from last night, full of useful information, so take good notes! The first is the policy direction from the yen side. Some may think, 'What does the yen have to do with BTC?' I need to clarify this: the yen has long been low-interest, and many international funds borrow yen to buy high-yield assets, which is what we often refer to as 'arbitrage funds.' The market generally expects a rate increase for the yen to materialize, which means the arbitrage funds that have been sitting on the sidelines will start to move. The crypto market, being a highly elastic asset, is definitely one of the key targets for these funds. This isn’t just a wild guess; looking back at previous rate shifts in major economies, each time it has been accompanied by a significant migration of funds into the crypto market, and this time will be no exception.
The second point is even more critical: yesterday's violent surge of 5000 points led many to mistakenly believe it was retail investors banding together; that is a huge misunderstanding! This is clearly the main forces 'flexing their muscles' and plainly telling everyone: I have enough chips in hand, I can pull anytime I want, so don’t think you can shake me out with minor fluctuations. If you look at the market data, you will see that during the surge, there was almost no selling pressure, indicating that most of the chips have been locked by the main forces, and retail investors have very little floating stock. This kind of 'no-volume surge' is scarier than a volume increase because it means the upward potential has been completely unlocked.
There is also a significant piece of news that many may not have noticed: the holding strategy of the leading asset management firm BlackRock has changed! Previously, there were rumors that they were reducing their holdings, which caused panic, but the latest holding data shows they have stopped their previous reduction actions and even started to slightly increase their holdings. It is important to know that for institutions of this caliber, every action is well thought out; they do not enter the market casually. Once they do enter, it means they see opportunities that ordinary people cannot perceive. It’s like in battle when the main forces have quietly begun to assemble, and the next step is a full-scale charge.
Speaking of which, some people will definitely ask: 'Should I chase now? What if there’s a pullback?' Here, I must tell you something from the heart: pullbacks are normal; the main forces cannot keep pushing up and must shake out those indecisive retail investors through fluctuations to lighten the load. I've seen too many people panic and sell due to minor fluctuations, only to sell at the lowest point and watch the market soar afterward. Remember my words: the most important thing now is not to chase prices or panic sell but to 'hold your chips steady' and not be fooled by the main forces' little tricks.
Lastly, I want to say something real to everyone: the crypto market has always been one where the bold are rewarded and the timid are punished, but this 'boldness' is not about recklessness; it is based on rational judgment grounded in logic and data. I will continue to monitor the market closely, tracking the flow of funds and policy changes in real time. Any signals of market shifts will be promptly communicated in the comments section and fan group. For those who haven't followed me yet, hurry up and hit that follow button.
