$ACT
Unemployment rate 4.6% + debt 123%! Can the Federal Reserve's big move save the U.S. economy?
The U.S. economy's "dual-sided drama" is intensifying! On one side, AI is attracting global capital and gaining attention; on the other, the unemployment rate has soared to a nearly 4.6% high in recent years, with debt at 123% of GDP, and half of traditional industries are laying off workers, showing early signs of economic cracks!
The non-farm data seems to exceed expectations, but actually hides a crisis: the unemployment rate continues to rise, and the more comprehensive U6 unemployment rate has also surged to 8.7%, while wage growth has slid to 3.5%, with prices still rising, and residents' purchasing power is being crazily squeezed. Worse still, the Federal Reserve has already cut interest rates by 150 basis points, yet there are no signs of recovery in interest-sensitive sectors, and the unemployment rate is approaching the trigger line of the "Sam Rule," significantly reducing the effectiveness of policies.
The most critical issue is the "dual-speed growth" trap: AI supports the surface growth, but excluding it, the economy is almost on the edge of recession! Blue states are experiencing job contractions, deep red states are diverging, and even the Federal Reserve's Beige Book confirms the stark contrast in regional economic conditions. The debt issue is even more alarming, with interest expenses surpassing the defense budget for the first time, and the de-dollarization wave is accelerating.
This wave of economic differentiation has a huge impact on the crypto market, and the Federal Reserve's next move is crucial. Do you think the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates or come up with other big moves? Will the crypto market see a safe-haven trend amidst this crisis?
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