Big news! U.S. GDP data has shocked the market, January interest rate cut expectations are in an "avalanche," is the crypto world about to change?
Family! Late at night, the crypto world has been blown up again by U.S. economic data!
The freshly released U.S. GDP data has directly stirred things up, with January interest rate cut expectations plummeting from "rollercoaster" to "free fall," shattering market sentiment!
Key point — CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data shows: the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in January next year has crashed from 31% to 13.3%!
What does this mean? It’s equivalent to the Federal Reserve suddenly "tightening the reins," turning the anticipated interest rate cut package into a "bearish bomb"!
Even more ruthless, the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged has soared to 86.7%, this expectation reversal is simply more exciting than a spike in the crypto market!
The underlying logic is even more explosive: the U.S. third quarter actual GDP annualized quarterly rate initial value is 4.9%, marking the strongest growth rate since the fourth quarter of 2023!
GDP growth is "soaring," inflation pressure is surging, and the Federal Reserve's footsteps towards interest rate cuts are naturally hitting the brakes. What does this mean?
U.S. dollar liquidity continues to tighten, global risk assets are under collective pressure, and the crypto world is the first to bear the brunt!
Now, crypto players are collectively confused: interest rate cut expectations have plummeted, the U.S. dollar index is likely to strengthen, and the funding situation in the crypto market is about to be drained?
Will mainstream coins like BNB and BTC follow the U.S. stock market and foreign exchange market in a big plunge? More critically — the Federal Reserve's March interest rate cut expectations are also changing!
Currently, the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 54.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 40.7%. As long as economic data continues to "hold strong," the volatility in the crypto world will only get crazier!
Tonight is destined to be sleepless! Whether you are an old player in the crypto world or a new investor, you must keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's movements and the subsequent revisions of GDP data. Want to position yourself to profit?
Follow Er Ge for real-time analysis of the macro data's impact on the crypto world, teaching you how to find opportunities amid policy reversals and avoid blood loss traps! @阿二说币
